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Our 2024 AI Predictions Midterm Report – how did we do?
Apple predicts BIG sales for AI iPhone, UN adopts AI resolutions, looking back at our 2024 AI predictions and more!
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👋 Sup ya’ll
TBH, today’s newsletter is a long one.
I also think it’s SO jam-packed with information, you can’t afford not to read it.
In December 2023, we put dozens of hours and research into our 2024 predictions epsiode. Today, we fact-checked ourselves and updated ya’ll with a legit WEALTH of useful GenAI info.
Grab some coffee and get growing.
✌️
Outsmart The Future
Today in Everyday AI
10 minute read
🎙 Daily Podcast Episode: We’re half way through 2024 and the GenAI space has changed so much. We revisit our 2024 AI predictions to see what we got right and wrong. Give it a listen.
🕵️♂️ Fresh Finds: China to set 50 AI standards by 2026, YouTube adds AI deepfake removal and how AI is changing banking. Read on for Fresh Finds.
🗞 Byte Sized Daily AI News: UN adopts AI resolutions, Microsoft’s deal with G42 is in trouble and Apple expects record sales with new AI iPhone. For that and more, read on for Byte Sized News.
🚀 AI In 5: Can ChatGPT strategize better than top-tier firms like KPMG and Deloitte? We put it to the test. See it here
🧠 Learn & Leveraging AI: Making AI predictions can be hard with how fast the AI world moves. So what did we get right and wrong about AI in 2024? We dive in. Keep reading for that!
↩️ Don’t miss out: Did you miss our last newsletter? We talked about Apple is adding Gemini to iPhones, Amazon partners with Adept, Anthropic Projects vs ChatGPT GPTs showdown. Check it here!
Let us know your thoughts!
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Our 2024 AI Predictions Midterm Report – how did we do? 🤔
In December 2023, we laid out 24 spicy hot takes on the future of Generative AI.
(Side note.... projecting what the future of AI is gonna look like when it legit changes DAILY is kinda dangerous.)
We're giving ourselves a midterm report as we hit the halfway point of 2024 to see if we crushed our predictions, or if the nonstop pace of GenAI crushed us.
Join the conversation and ask Jordan questions on AI here.
Also on the pod today:
• AI Misinformation and Legislation 🧑⚖️
• Future of Big Tech Companies 🏢
• Job Market Changes due to AI 💼
It’ll be worth your 1 hour and 9 minutes:
Listen on our site:
Subscribe and listen on your favorite podcast platform
Listen on:
Here’s our favorite AI finds from across the web:
New AI Tool Spotlight – Ariglad creates and updates your knowledge base articles, Wanderboat AI is your AI travel companion and Vitamin AI is an AI companion for task management.
Trending in AI – China’s ministry said that it will develop more than 50 new national and industrial AI standards by 2026.
Google - According to reports, Google will add Google AI to the Pixel 9.
YouTube - YouTube is allowing you to request the removal of AI-generated content that simulates your face.
AI Design - Figma is disabling its AI design feature after it appeared to be copying Apple’s Weather app.
Pop Culture – The VFX Studio who made Dune, has raised $200M for AI innovation.
Money in AI – A UBS executive talks about how AI is changing banking.
1. UN General Assembly Adopts AI Resolutions with US and China 🇺🇳
The United Nations General Assembly embraced resolutions concerning artificial intelligence, with a primary focus on ensuring global access and safety in AI development and usage. The resolutions, led by the US and China, emphasize the importance of international cooperation in shaping the future of AI technology.
While both nations showcased unity in some aspects, tensions arose as Chinese Ambassador Fu Cong criticized US sanctions on AI investments, sparking a tech showdown of epic proportions.
2. Microsoft's Deal with G42 Raises National Security Concerns 👀
Microsoft's recent agreement with UAE-based G42 has sparked significant national security worries in the United States. The deal involves the potential transfer of advanced AI technologies, drawing scrutiny from lawmakers and officials concerned about implications for US technology security.
Specifically, US officials fear that the AI systems involved could pose national security risks, potentially making it easier to engineer chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons.
3. Apple Boosts Chip Orders for iPhone 16, Expecting Record Sales 🤯
Apple is ramping up anticipation for the iPhone 16 as it increases A18 chip orders from TSMC by 10 million units, aiming for a total of 90-100 million chips. The decision to equip all iPhone 16 models with the A18 chip marks a shift in naming convention rather than a change in strategy, with the Pro models receiving a specialized A18 Pro chip boasting advanced AI and graphics features.
This move aligns with the upcoming launch of iOS 18, set to introduce the groundbreaking Apple Intelligence feature that will be supported across all four iPhone 16 models.
4. Meta Changes "Made with AI" Label to "AI Info" For Social Media 🏷
Meta is swapping out its "Made with AI" label for a more informative "AI Info" tag on social media posts due to mislabeling concerns. This move aims to help users better understand the AI involvement in content creation.
As AI technologies rapidly evolve, distinguishing between real and AI-generated content becomes increasingly challenging, especially with the upcoming 2024 US presidential election on the horizon.
5. Anthropic Unveils New AI Safety Program 🤖
Anthropic's groundbreaking program seeks to set new standards for evaluating AI models, focusing on security and societal impacts, like cyberattacks and misinformation. The company's initiative aims to create challenging benchmarks that go beyond traditional assessments, delving into tasks crucial for national security and defense.
With a vision to support research in various AI applications, Anthropic envisions platforms allowing experts to develop evaluations through large-scale trials involving thousands of users.
6. California Considers Legislation to Regulate AI Giants 🧑⚖️
In a bold move, California legislators are poised to vote on a pioneering bill that would impose safety measures on AI systems exceeding $100 million in cost. This landmark proposal, spearheaded by Democratic Sen. Scott Wiener, is a proactive step to prevent the misuse of potentially powerful AI models in the future.
Governor Gavin Newsom's support for cutting-edge AI tools contrasts with tech behemoths like Meta and Google, who raise concerns about stifling innovation.
AI vs Consultants: Who Wins in Strategy?
Can large language models like ChatGPT outmaneuver seasoned strategists from top-tier firms such as KPMG or McKinsey?
We put this question to the test, showing how even basic prompting can yield surprisingly strategic insights.
Check out today's AI in 5.
🦾How You Can Leverage:
Do we even know what we’re talking about?
After 300+ episodes of Everyday AI, are we just a loony bunch of AI geeks or are we (kinda) predicting the future?
Today, we tackled that issue. Cuz you know we always bring the receipts.
Even when it comes to fact-checking ourselves, which we did live today.
(Insert nervous face here.)
We capped off our 2023 livestream schedule with 24 bold GenAI claims for 2024. So, we figured, given that it’s the half-way point of the 2024 and all, that we revisit those wild claims from December.
Because TBH if we were like 1 for 24, then you should probably stop listening or reading.
(Luckily, we did a little better than that.)
So, let’s rip the Band-Aid off, and revisit our predictions from December and see if we know anything.
And we’ll also drop some of our fave takes from our livestream audiences as we go along.
Let’s goooooooooooo
24. Second Computer AI
Quick Take:
We thought fosho that Second Computer AI would be a thing.
Essentially, when companies ban LLMs or other GenAI tools, smart employees will use their own personal devices (or internet!) to access it all.
Were we right or wrong?
This one’s hard to quantify.
Anecdotally, we see and hear it allllll the time. There’s no official study or stat on this one, so we’ll just slap an old “probably right” on this one. Lolz.
But, there’s plenty of wild stories about this.
23. Individualized Learning Boom
Quick Take:
We thought the education world would change with AI-powered personalized learning taking off.
Were we right or wrong?
Not quite there yet.
We've barely tapped the surface. I envisioned people building GPTs for day-to-day use and creating individualized learning paths, but it hasn't really happened.
GPTs are still there, still available, and still sorely underused. Maybe we'll see more action in the second half of 2024.
Can’t deny, though, there’s a steep rise in personalized AI.
22. AI Robotics Grabbing the Limelight
Quick Take:
We said AI robotics would grab the limelight and start being used in real life.
Were we right or wrong?
We're getting there, but not quite yet.
Figure AI wasn't even a thing when we made this prediction, and now they're all over the place. Remember that 60 Minutes demo?
A humanoid robot that could understand natural conversations and perform tasks simultaneously. Wild stuff.
Different AI humanoids are reportedly going on sale this year, so let's see what happens.
21. AI Misinformation in Elections
Quick Take:
We predicted AI-generated misinformation would run rampant during the 2024 election cycle.
Were we right or wrong?
The election cycle is just starting to heat up, so the jury's still out. But look at the tools we've got now - Runway Gen 3, Luma Dream Machine, Kling.
The potential for disinformation is definitely there. As these tools mature in the coming weeks and months, we might be in for a wild ride.
20. No Meaningful AI Legislation
Quick Take:
We said there'd be no meaningful AI legislation in the US.
Were we right or wrong?
Dead right on this one. Pew pew.
And there won't be any meaningful legislation anytime soon.
Remember, it took 20 years to get meaningful copyright laws. We're still legislating the Internet based on laws from 1996.
If you think we're getting federal AI laws soon, I've got a bridge to sell you.
19. AI Watermarks Won't Work
Quick Take:
We predicted a lot of talk about AI watermarks, but said they wouldn't work.
Were we right or wrong?
Jury's still out, but it's not looking good for watermarks.
Google, Meta, and others have talked a big game, but have you seen any of these watermarks in the wild?
As soon as there's a widespread watermarking system, you can bet there'll be 20 companies popping up to remove them without a trace.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/f441f7d6-4494-4fef-807a-f608e57cfa71/CleanShot_2024-07-02_at_12.24.57_2x.jpg?t=1719941715)
18. Grok Fades into Oblivion
Quick Take:
We said Grok would fade into oblivion.
Were we right or wrong?
Nailed it. This article says it has “No reason to exist” lolz.
Remember when smart people thought Grok was going to change large language models? Yeah, me neither.
Training an LLM on Twitter data is like trying to make a gourmet meal out of leftover fast food.
No one serious is using Grok. Sorry, Elon. And we don’t see a use-case.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/72eca1aa-8148-4b15-8059-272821ce12b2/CleanShot_2024-07-02_at_12.25.42_2x.jpg?t=1719941897)
17. Apple Joins the AI Party
Quick Take:
We predicted Apple would join the AI party late but be the coolest kid there.
Were we right or wrong?
The party's still going, and Apple's just warming up. They've made some noise, but we haven't seen their full AI dance moves yet.
Stay tuned for the second half of 2024. Right now, we should see “Apple Intelligence” roll out in late 2024.
(Side note… ughhhhh we hate Apple’s trying to rebrand AI.)
We covered this one in-depth, go check it out here.
16. Home Assistants Finally Get Smart
Quick Take:
We thought home assistants would finally get smart in 2024.
Were we right or wrong?
We're seeing progress, but we're not quite there yet. But, we TOTALLY feel this will still land this year.
Alexa's next version might use an LLM, Google's Project Astra looks promising, and GPT-4 could power Windows devices.
The potential is there, but as of today, our home assistants are still pretty dumb.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/efad6b99-8dc0-49ea-be53-edb18db871ec/CleanShot_2024-07-02_at_12.23.41_2x.jpg?t=1719941801)
15. AI Agents Become Usable
Quick Take:
We said AI agents would actually become usable, and we'd see more agents than humans.
Were we right or wrong?
We're not there today, but just look at what's coming: GPT-4 with agent capabilities, Microsoft's Agent Studio, Google Astra, OpenAI's GPT-4.
The AI agents are coming, y’all. (Go watch this video.)
We might not have more agents than humans yet, but don't count it out for the end of the year.
(That might be our spiciest take, no?)
14. RAG Becomes the New Buzzword
Quick Take:
We predicted Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG) would become the next AI buzzword.
Were we right or wrong?
If you're in the AI space, you can't escape RAG. It's not the dictionary.com word of the year, but smart companies are all over it.
Without RAG, those fancy LLMs aren't going to be very helpful with your company's data.
13. Traditional Internet Browsing Becomes Unbearable
Quick Take:
We said traditional Internet browsing would become unbearable.
Were we right or wrong?
We can't use the Internet anymore without AI. Yuckgrossbarf.
Content companies have lost so much traffic that they've tripled down on ads.
You've got 4 pop-up windows and the actual content is less than 10% of the screen. It's a nightmare out there.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/a8a0bcd5-c93a-45b3-830f-22f4667cd042/CleanShot_2024-07-02_at_12.26.46_2x.jpg?t=1719941840)
12. AI Copyright Battles Become Commonplace
Quick Take:
We predicted AI copyright battles would become commonplace.
Were we right or wrong?
Nailed it.
The day after our prediction, the New York Times sued OpenAI and Microsoft.
Now we're seeing content partnerships left and right. Time Magazine, Associated Press, Financial Times - they're all jumping on board.
It's sue, join, or die out there for media companies.
Good stuff here from @bilawalsidhu . I've been yelling about this for more than a year and have done HOURS of podcasts on this issue. Glad others are talking about this.
There's three paths forward for legacy media and traditional content houses:
1. Sue LLM/GenAI companies (or… x.com/i/web/status/1…
— Jordan Talks Everyday AI (@EverydayAI_)
2:11 PM • Jun 27, 2024
11. GenAI Training Demand Outpaces Supply
Quick Take:
We thought demand for GenAI training would outpace supply.
Were we right or wrong?
This one's hard to quantify, but we're seeing high demand. Companies are scrambling to get their teams up to speed on AI.
And if for some WTF reason your company is still on the ‘should we use AI or not?’ fence, y’all should get your booties off there.
Whether supply has truly been outpaced is debatable, but the hunger for AI knowledge is definitely real.
10. Big Tech Becomes Venture Arms
Quick Take:
We said big tech companies would essentially become venture arms.
Were we right or wrong?
Look at Amazon investing nearly $3 billion in Anthropic. Sheeeeeeeesh.
NVIDIA's basically become an investment company. They’ve got 19,000 startups in their Inception program. (That’s nutty y’all.)
These tech giants are giving startups what they need most: money and compute.
It's wild out there, and Big Tech is definitely the biggest investment arm out there. And it’s not even close.
9. NVIDIA's Stock Continues to Soar
Quick Take:
We predicted NVIDIA's stock would continue to soar. Like…. Last summer.
Were we right or wrong?
If you didn't believe us before, believe us now.
NVIDIA went from an unknown a few years ago to trading spots with Microsoft and Apple as the most valuable company in the world.
Not in Big Tech. Not in the U.S.
The WORLD.
Yeah, we nailed that December 2023 prediction, but we’ve been screaming about this for a long while.
They've got the thing that's more valuable than money right now: compute.
8. GPT-5 vs Gemini Ultra Showdown
Quick Take:
We thought GPT-5 would outshine Gemini Ultra.
Were we right or wrong?
Well, we don't have GPT-5 yet, but GPT-4 is still spanking Gemini in the ELO scores. (Blind side by side scoring.)
And that’s actually a sizable gap, even if it might seem small.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/31bafb62-16cd-4ef7-8c6c-30086d15aea4/ELO.png?t=1719939989)
7. The Year of Video AI
Quick Take:
We said 2024 would be the year of video AI.
Were we right or wrong?
Have you seen Runway Gen 3? Luma Dream Machine? Kling?
Bonkers.
And we don't even have Sora yet.
The progress in just the last few weeks has been bonkers. Video AI is here, and it's only getting better.
I mean…. Look at this Twitter thread shorties.
⚡ The best GEN-3 prompts so far.
Runway released its new text-to-video AI Generator 48 hours ago.
I've spent hours testing the most advanced and craziest prompts to get the ultimate results so you don’t have to.
Here are ALL of them (+45 prompts) 🧵👇
— Javi Lopez ⛩️ (@javilopen)
2:07 PM • Jul 2, 2024
6. GPT Wrappers Die Off
Quick Take:
We predicted GPT wrappers would die.
Were we right or wrong?
Remember all those "chat with your PDF" companies?
Yeah, me neither.
The big players have integrated these features, and the quick-and-dirty wrappers and even AI unicorns are fading fast.
5. GPT Store Needs a Boost
Quick Take:
We said OpenAI would need a GPT boost for its GPT store to be a smash hit.
Were we right or wrong?
Spot on shorties.
The GPT store hasn't been the iOS App Store killer everyone thought it would be.
OpenAI dropped the ball here, and they'll need to step up their game to make it a real success.
4. AI Leads to Job Losses
Quick Take:
We predicted AI in the workplace would lead to massive job loss in the US.
Were we right or wrong?
Nobody wants to talk about this, but the numbers don't lie.
Tech layoffs were at an all-time high in Q1 2024, even as companies posted record profits.
Follow the money, folks. The AI revolution isn't all sunshine and rainbows.
3. Early AI Movers Gobble Up Competitors
Quick Take:
We thought early AI movers in the business world would gobble up bigger competitors.
Were we right or wrong?
We haven't seen the full effect of this yet, but keep your eyes peeled.
Companies that adapted early to AI are positioning themselves to leapfrog their slower competitors. The real shakeup might still be coming.
2. Big Acquisition in the LLM Space
Quick Take:
We predicted a big acquisition in the large language model space.
Were we right or wrong?
Microsoft's acquisition of Inflection AI might have flown under the radar, but it counts.
Nearly $650 million in licensing, potentially over $1 billion total.
The big players are making moves, just like we said they would.
(So…. checkmark that one y’all!)
1. GenAI Wave Becomes a Tsunami
Quick Take:
We said the generative AI wave would become a tsunami in 2024. Straight up — the Gartner Hype cycle don’t apply here.
Were we right or wrong?
Forget the Gartner hype cycle.
(What Joe said. lolz)
With Copilot rolling out and Apple gearing up for on-device AI, we're just seeing the beginning. If you're not using an LLM daily now, you will be soon.
The tsunami is here, folks. Grab your surfboard.
⌚
Numbers to watch
97 Million
AI is projected to create around 97 million new jobs, potentially countering workforce displacement concerns.
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